The Boxing Diary

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Showing posts with label HBO PPV. Show all posts
Showing posts with label HBO PPV. Show all posts

Saturday, May 2, 2015

My Mayweather vs Pacquiao prediction

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Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs. Manny Pacquiao, is the fight that the boxing fans around the world waited for such a long time will finally takes place on Saturday night (Sunday morning Manila) at the MGM Grand Garden Arena, in Las Vegas.


The fight took almost six years in the making. Two top welterweights of our time will settle in the ring who will be boxing's best in their generation. They started professional prize fighting with one year gap. Mayweather debut in 1996 and Pacquiao in 1995. Win or lose, each fighter can claim that they made the fight of the century happen. The obvious winner is the fans and sport of boxing in general. The sport has been demanding for this fight back in 2009, wherein both fighters were considerably at their fighting peak. But undoubtedly, it still remains the most demand fight that will shatter existing boxing revenue records. With a total expected purse of $200 M that will be split 60-40 in favor of Mayweather.

Floyd Mayweather Jr. (47-0, 26 KO's) now 38 years old, still remains undefeated and considered as the pound-for-pound king in the sport. Although it is safe to say that he has decline a notch. But he fought and won against Marcos Maidana (twice), Saul Alvarez, Robert Guerrero, Miguel Cotto, Victor Ortiz, Shane Mosley and Juan Manuel Marquez.

[caption id="attachment_5191" align="alignnone" width="701"] Juan Manuel Marquez (56-7-1, 40 KO's) knockout Manny Pacquiao in 2012.[/caption]

Manny Pacquiao lost twice; an infamous 12 round split decision loss to Timothy Bradley and a stunning knockout defeat to arch-rival Juan Manuel Marquez in 2012. But Pacquiao rebuilds career and has had great 2013 and 2014 campaign. In 2013, after almost one year from face-first knockout loss to Marquez, Pacman rebounded by outclassing tough banger Brandon Rios. And in 2014, Pacquiao fought twice: a rematch with Timothy Bradley--avenging the controversial loss; and total annihilation of Chris Algieri, wherein Pacquiao scored a total of six knockdowns in route to a wide unanimous decision victory in November.

My Prediction


I think Floyd will size up Manny Pacquiao in the first four rounds. He will be in his defensive shell and gauge Pacquiao's power and speed. Although Floyd may not open up and may throw very limited punches in the first four rounds, I believed Manny will be a little bit conservative too in throwing combinations. But I'm sure, Manny will throw more punches compared to Floyd in the first four rounds. This will make Manny win most of the first four rounds in the judges' scorecards.

I think starting Round 5, Floyd will start stepping on the gas on his offense. He will fire his jabs, mixing it upstairs and downstairs in an unpredictable rhythm and fires his laser-like right hand that will find its home pretty well on Pacquiao's upper extremities. In this round also, Manny will step up his offense and throws fast combinations as he sees more openings on a more offensive minded Mayweather.

I think rounds six to ten would be chess match action wherein each fighter would try to outdo each other's move. These are the rounds where the judges might have difficulty in scoring. They have to choose between Mayweather's single-shot telling blows or Pacquiao's six, seven combinations fired that one or two might get through. Other factors in scoring the round is defense -- wherein most likely on Mayweather's side. But ring generalship could be on Pacquiao side as he tends to back Floyd up towards the ropes as he will keep on firing blistering combinations, moving in and out, side to side with his tremendous foot speed using the entire ring.

I think Mayweather makes up the deficit he had in the first four rounds and even up the scores entering the championship rounds. The 11th and 12th round is up for grab for both fighters. These are the rounds wherein Pacquiao's "will to win" and Floyd's "I will find a way to win" will play out. The fighter who has the optimum condition to do so will win. And I pick Manny's "will to win" to prevail compared to Mayweather who's still "finding a way to win" even after the final bell. Pacquiao by Majority Decision.

Friday, May 1, 2015

Maweather vs Pacquiao: Weigh-in event live streaming


Undefeated boxer and pound-for-pound king Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. and "Fighter of the Decade Manny "Pacman" Pacquiao will tip the scales on Friday, 1st May 2015 at 6PM ET/3PM PT for their mega-fight on Saturday night, 2nd May 2015 (Sunday Morning, 3rd May in Manila) at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas Nevada.

The fight dubbed as the "Fight of the Century" is expected to destroy all existing records in terms of the boxing revenue. The joint Showtime/HBO PPV sales is projected to generate $4 million. Ticket sales at around $74 million and total fighters' purse is around $300 million.

Mayweather and Pacquiao will meet at the contracted welterweight limit at 147 pounds. Two best welterweights in our generation will finally share the same ring after five years. The first time boxing public demanded the fight in late 2009 will finally a day far away!

Wednesday, June 25, 2014

Why recent boxing PPV buys not reaching 1M?

Why recent boxing PPV's not reaching 1M buys?


If you are going to look at the pay-per-view (PPV) sales performance from 2013 and 2014 (total of seven PPV), you will find it ALL, failed to reach the one million mark. This is of course with the exception of Mayweather-Canelo in Sept. 2013 that TOPPED all the PPVs in terms of revenue, ($150M total revenue) selling 2.2 million PPV units.


However, the remaining six boxing PPV buys for the year 2013 and 2014 were below one million buys. In my opinion, the measuring stick to consider a PPV event a HIT---if it breaks the one million mark. In the past, most of the PPV events usually cross one million buys.


Let's take a look at the last five PPV event and its corresponding units sold. And the reasons why it did not reach one million buys. In fact, two out of five, did not even generate 500,000 buys.


1. Miguel Cotto vs. Sergio Martinez (HBO) - June 7, 2014 


Cotto's upset of former middleweight king Sergio Martinez at the Madison Square Garden approximately generated 350,000 buys on HBO PPV according to Dan Rafael's report on ESPN. According to Bob Arum, the result is "terrible" but it's not "disappointing". The reason he told is that there are too many PPV fights. Yeah. I agree. Correct. 100%.


2. Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs. Marcos Maidana (Showtime) - May 3, 2014


Mayweather's majority decision win over Maidana was rumored that it didn't reach one million buys and generated only between 800,000 to 900,000 buys. Although, Leonard Ellerbe, Mayweather Promotions CEO dismissed the notion that results were low. The reason here is that Maidana don't have the fan base to back up Floyd. And besides the fans seemed not interested of the fight. Fans again asking for Mayweather-Pacquiao fight, following Pacquiao's dominating comeback win against Brandon Rios.


3. Manny Pacquiao vs. Timothy Bradley Jr. (HBO) - April 12, 2014


When Manny Pacquiao's PPV buys dropped drastically when he fought Rios in Macau, Bob Arum immediately said that Pacquiao's next fight will be back in the US. Manny re-matched Bradley but the result did not even equal those of the first fight. And only generated between 750,000 to 800,000 buys according to ESPN. The reason here is that fans don't want to cough out their hard earned money for a fight that should not even supposed to happen. Manny certainly won the first Bradley fight. Bradley fans might disagree, but it is what it is. The fans also were "sick and tired" according to Dan Rafael, for Mayweather-Pacquiao not happening.


4. Saul Canelo Alvarez vs. Alfredo Angulo (Showtime) - March 8, 2014


Alvarez's demolition of Angulo reportedly generated 350,000 PPV buys, which is good for two fighters coming from respective losses fighting in a PPV event according to the promoters. The promoters is already expecting that the result will be low, then why the heck its on PPV?


5. Manny Pacquiao vs. Brandon Rios - November 24, 2013


Bob Arum before this fight said about great things and potential of the Chinese market. And he has high hopes of this fight not just in gate sales but also in PPV buys. The fight timing has been adjusted to suit the viewing time of those fans in the US, which is the main source of PPV buys. But the fight reportedly drew only about 475,000 buys. The reasons were obvious: Pacquiao is coming from a defeat and no longer exciting as he was before. And of course, the fight is outside Uncle Sam.



Where does PPV stars go from here?


I think in the recent PPVs, the problem is, it becomes more frequent---yes too many PPVs. PPV should be super-fights, not just, "good fights", it should have drama and story-lines. Second thing is that: PPV price rose drastically and reaches $69 on HD. That's too much at this point, wherein there's a lot of alternative to watch it for free. Like the internet. There are also other sports that we will satisfy our Saturday night. I think PPV stars should fight each other, and PPV'S should only be SUPER-FIGHTS. Let's say Mayweather-Pacquiao on September!

Sunday, June 8, 2014

Sonsona exacts revenge, wins SD against Vazquez Jr.

Sonsona exacts revenge, wins SD against Vazquez Jr.

Marvin Sonsona evens the score on Wilfredo Vazquez Jr. and captures vacant NABF featherweight title at the sold out Madison Square Garden, New York---the "Mecca of Boxing".


Former WBO super flyweight champion Marvin "Marvelous" Sonsona  had his hands raised after 10 rounds of somewhat rough, ugly but close fight, against the man who handed him, his first career defeat: Wilfredo Vazquez Jr. of Puerto Rico, in the under-card of Miguel Cotto-Sergio Martinez middleweight clash.


The Filipino southpaw started strong in the opening round, and floored Vazquez with hard left to the body. Vazquez took a knee but quickly get up on his feet and get right back to action.


Round 2, was obviously another round for Marvin Sonsona (19-1-1, 15 KO's) as Vazquez tried to recover from the previous round knockdown. And tried also to figure out the more mature and stronger opponent compared to the one he met in 2010.


Sonsona first met Vazquez in 2010, for the vacant WBO super bantamweight title. Vazquez knocked out, the then 19 year old in-experienced Sonsona, in Round 4.


In Round 3, it seemed the 29 year old Wilfredo Vazquez Jr. (23-4-1, 19 KO's) fully recovered from the somewhat liver-punch he took from the previous round and started slipping punches and augment his own attacks and counters.


However, from Round 4 on-wards the fight becomes rough as Sonsona tried to clinched every time Vazquez closes the gap for infighting. It was a busy night for referee Steve Willis.


After the fight,Vazquez expressed his disappointment on Sosona's tactics.


"He's a dirty, rotten fighter. I tried to pressure him. He kept holding. He got in one good punch, the one that knocked me down. I thought I won easily." says a disappointed Vazquez.


In Round 6, the 23 year old Sonsona was deducted a point on each judges scorecards for hitting Vazquez behind the head. This even up the knockdown Sonsona scored in the first round.


In Round 7, Sonsona dazed badly after an accidental headbutt on the face---he went down to the floor! The referee give him time to recover.


In the final round, a rare double take-down happened as both fighters tangled up and went to the floor.


Overall it's a close fight to call. But I have Sonsona winning slightly on my unofficial scorecards as he smartly maneuver to make the fight happen only from outside (wherein he utilized his reach and height advantage) than fighting Vazquez's fight from the inside.


The fight could actually go either way or a draw. And it shows the divided verdict of the judges: two judges had it for Sonsona 96-92 and 96-92 and the third judge had it also at 96-92 for Vazquez.

Sunday, April 13, 2014

Pacquiao dominates Bradley, regains title

Pacquiao dominates Bradley regains title

Fighter of the Decade and congressman Manny “Pacman” Pacquiao dominated former undefeated two-division world champion, Timothy “Desert Storm” Bradley in their rematch, at the MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada.


Pacquiao (56-5-2, 38 KO's) regains the title back that Bradley took away from him in their highly controversial (or shall I say highway robbery) fight in 2012. He proved that he's the better fighter, and still a top caliber athlete. And can beat younger pound-for-pound fighters.


The scorecards reflect what transpired in the ring that reads 116-122 twice and 118-110 in favor of the Filipino southpaw.


I'm glad that there's no odd scoring tonight.


Although it is evident that Pacquiao speed is no longer the same when he fought Oscar Dela Hoya, Ricky Hatton or Miguel Cotto, but at 35, his speed could still match Bradley which has decent speed. Pacquiao still have coordinated footwork and balance that played well in this fight.


Prior to the fight both men wanted to win convincingly and looking for a knockout.


However, the knockout never came out.


Maybe Pacquiao's power has diminished, or it's just that Bradley is too tough.


Yes! Bradley (31-1, 12 KO's) is a tough fighter. He stayed and absorbed the best Pacquiao punch that landed. Look at Bradley's abdominal muscle during the weigh-in. He can be an outright cast of "300" movie.


But yes, Pacquiao did win convincingly.


Pacquiao dominated Bradley regains title

Although many believed Bradley has improved since the last fight, but I think he's not. The thing is that in his recent fights he looked exciting to watch as he engaged toe-to-toe more often against Provodnikov and Marquez. And he showed that against Pacquiao on Saturday night. In round 4, he hurt Pacquiao with a solid punch during the exchanges. But he wasn't able to follow up.


In rounds 5 and 6 Bradley engaged and challenged Pacquiao into a brawl. But Bradley's lack of fire power made him backpedal when Pacquiao landed much heavier shots at him. Pacquiao had the power advantage. This is evident in round 7 wherein Bradley forced to back down as Pacquiao landed hard shots.


Pacquiao started to step up his offense in this round. Bradley would throw wide strong right hands over the top as Pacquiao lunged in for offense. I believe Bradley hope to emulate Marquez who landed a brutal right hand as Pacquiao rushed in. But Pacquiao was too cautious.


Retired HBO commentator Larry Merchant ask Pacquiao's thoughts about the wild punches that Bradley throws that Merchant referred to as look like "amateur". Bradley took the microphone and answered Merchant that it was part of the game plan to throw strong right hands over the top when Pacquiao comes in.


With the win, Pacquiao told Merchant that he proved that his journey in boxing will continue for a couple of years.

Pacquaio could have finished the fight unscathed. But the clash of heads with 20 seconds left in the fight leaves Pacquiao a cut above the left eye.


This was Pacquiao's first fight in the U.S. since his 2012 knockout loss against arch-rival Juan Manuel Marquez. And he rocks the crowd at the MGM Grand with his dominating performance against Bradley.

Photo credit: Top Rank

Pacquiao vs Bradley undercard results: Monaghan, Vasquez, Gvodzyk win

pacquiao vs bradley undercard results


Here are the Pacquiao vs Bradley undercard results that happen before the anticipated rematch between Filipino boxing icon Manny "Pacman" Pacquiao vs. undefeated American Timothy "Desert Storm" Bradley Saturday night, April 12, 2014 at the MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada.



Ray Beltran UD 12 Arash Usmanee


Former Manny Pacquiao sparring partner, Ray Beltran (29-6-1, 17 KO's) becomes the new NABO lightweight champion winning via wide margin against Arash Usmanee (20-2-1, 10 KO's) of Red Deer, Canada. Beltran lands the telling blows of the night. He's been landing hooks to the the body that hurt Usmanee especially in round 4. But Usmanee seems landed more shots that necessary to win rounds. The fight is competitive but it doesn't reflect to the judges scorecards that's to wide that reads 118 -110, 117-111 and 117-111 in favor of Beltran.



Jessie Vargas UD 12 Khabib Allakhverdiev


Jessie Vargas (24-0, 9 KO's) of Las Vegas, Nevada, captures title from Khabib Allakhverdiev (19-1, 9 KO's) by out boxing the champion in over 12 rounds of somewhat less compelling fight. Khabib is not risking it all to defend his title. Although he's fighting with adversity -- his corner did a good job working in between rounds on nasty cuts above both eyes. Vargas jabs his way to a unanimous decision to the tune of 115-113, 115-113 and 117 111.

Bryan Vasquez UD 12 Jose Felix

Heavily underdog Bryan Vasquez (34-1, 17 KO's) gets his win against former undefeated Jose Felix (26-1-1, 21 KO's) of Los Mochis, Mexico and defends the interim super featherweight title. Felix has been hitting Vasquez with foul blows. and referee Robert Byrd penalized him in round 9 for kneeing Vasquez.



Oleksandr Gvodzyk TKO 1 Mike Montoya


Oleksandr Gvozdyk (1-0, 1 KO) of Kharkiv, UKR, quickly finishes Mike Montoya (4-3-1, 2 KO's) in his professional debut tonight, in the light heavyweight bout.



Oscar Valdez TKO 4 Adrian Perez


Oscar Valdez continues stopping opponent, and improves his undefeated record to 10 wins, 10 KO's. Valdez lands a left hook that stops Perez who drops to 10 wins, 6 losses,1 draw, 1 KO's for the super featherweight junior title.

Esquiva Falcao UD 6 Ethan Pena


Esquiva Falcao (2-0, 1 KO) of Vitoria, Brazil does an easy shout-out job against Ethan Pena (2-1-0-1, 1 KO's) in over 6 Rounds of middleweight action. The scores reflects well on the judges scorecards, 60-54, 60-54 and 60-53.

Sean Monaghan TKO 5 Joe McCreedy


In a 10-Round light heavyweight fight Sean Monaghan (21-0, 14 KO's) of Long Beach, NY, stops Joe McCreddy (15-7-2, 6 KO's) and defends the Continental Americas title.